US government bonds are the most reliable instrument for investment in the modern world and the reference point in the coordinate system of investment risks. It is a statement of fact, no matter how you feel about it, and no matter how much you listen to it on TV, that…

Understanding the financial strength of the largest and oldest stablecoin USD. — Why stablecoins are needed, and how do they work? If you are going to transfer part of the capital into cryptocurrency, the primary option may be to buy the largest and most famous coins, like Bitcoin or Ethereum. But there is one problem: their value in terms of traditional (fiat) money behaves in a problematic way to predict at…

The possibilities of predicting the price movement of Bitcoin using Put/Call options. — In my opinion, the options flow directly reflects the traders/investors sentiment in the Bitcoin markets, so some attention should be paid to studying the put/call options flow on Bitcoin to predict price action at least approximately. This analysis is based solely on my trading experience and observations, i.e., assuming my…

Using a drawdown (%) model to short-term, medium-term, and long-term forecasting BTC price action. — I was inspired to write this short article by an idea recently published by my colleague in the CryptoQuant verified authors’ team, Jan Wüstenfeld. Fundamental rules: A line with a value of 0 is considered as the top of the cycle, i.e., the…

Overall, a surge in the fear index (volatility index) may indicate a possible recovery. — As you can see in the chart below, the fall of the leading Russian Stock Index (IMOEX) began on October 14, 2021. The first stages of the fall were caused by various negative information on the Bloomberg news platform. …

The mobile strategy VIX Trading and Volatile Pairs is a momentum system for intraday trading and swing trading that allows you to open positions at the very beginning of a trending price movement. The mobile strategy VIX Trading and Volatile Pairs is a momentum system for intraday trading and swing…

Gold continues to trade above $1,800 an ounce despite 10-year rates and DXY rising from intra-year lows of -1.25 and 89.5 respectively in 2021 to -0.54 and 95.7 now. This is notable, as yields and the dollar tend to be the most important drivers of gold prices.

The Fed has announced that it will end its purchases reduction program in March 2022. Right now, the rate, as expected, has remained the same. — The US Federal Reserve announced that it would continue to reduce the purchases from the market and complete its purchases in early March. This is stated in a statement following the first meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in 2022, which was held on January 25–26. …

On November 10, 2021, Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $69,000 at the rate of the Coinbase cryptocurrency exchange. After that, for about 77 daily trading sessions, Bitcoin is at the mercy of the bears, who use any local bullish bounce for another sell-off and push the price even lower…